MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:37:20| >> :60:72:72:
Mozambique national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Albufeira
Nigeria national football team

Mozambique
2 - 3
Nigeria

Catamo (6'), Bangal (55')
Dove (38')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Moffi (19'), Onyeka (30'), Simon (45+3' pen.)
Osayi-Samuel (89'), Awaziem (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Mozambique and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-2 Nigeria
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mozambique 0-3 Nigeria

 Nigeria have a solid record against Mozambique and are firm favourites to come out on top, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides. While we expect Mozambique to put up a fight, we fancy the Super Eagles to pick up the desired result once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawNigeria
29.7% (0.02 0.02) 28.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.88% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (0.026000000000003 0.03)61.24% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)81.17% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)36.85% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.029 0.03)73.64% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 29.69%
    Nigeria 41.74%
    Draw 28.55%
MozambiqueDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 13.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.05%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 41.74%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Nigeria

Mozambique
3.4%
Draw
17.2%
Nigeria
79.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2014 6pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
4-2
Mozambique
Ede (11'), Ali (12', 54'), Imenga (88')
Uzoenyi (7')
Khan (10'), Diogo (20')
Manuelito (19'), Almiro Lobo (85')
> Match Report
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