COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Mozambique1 - 1Angola
Antonio (83')
Abudo Zacarias (31'), Bonde (57'), Danito (71')
Abudo Zacarias (31'), Bonde (57'), Danito (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benarfa (3')
Ganga (45+1'), Dianzenza (61')
Ganga (45+1'), Dianzenza (61')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Angola.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Mozambique
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Angola |
24.46% ( -0.16) | 28.95% ( 0.3) | 46.59% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 40.75% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
