African Nations Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jan 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Madagascar3 - 1Mozambique
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
We said: Madagascar 2-1 Mozambique
There is little separating the sides ahead of their meeting and the game could easily swing either way. That said, Mozambique just about look more solid at the moment, and we are leaning towards a victory for them come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.48%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Mozambique |
28.37% ( 0.07) | 30.15% ( -0.49) | 41.48% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 40.3% ( 1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
