MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:17:21| >> :120:4116:4116:
Sudan national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Madagascar national football team

Sudan
0 - 3
Madagascar


Mohamed (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Randriatsiferana (13'), Razafindranaivo (30'), Rafanomezantsoa (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's African Nations Championship clash between Sudan and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Madagascar

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Morocco 0-3 Madagascar
Thursday, January 19 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Sudan 0-1 Madagascar

 Madagascar are on the better run of results heading into this one, and they will feel confident of getting the job done. While we expect Sudan to put up a fight, we also fancy their East African opponents to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
SudanDrawMadagascar
43.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.44% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 29.01% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (0.248 0.25)57.61% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.196 0.2)78.38% (-0.193 -0.19)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.070999999999998 0.07)26.25% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.36% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (0.244 0.24)35.42% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (0.252 0.25)72.18% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sudan 43.55%
    Madagascar 29.01%
    Draw 27.43%
SudanDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.01%

How you voted: Sudan vs Madagascar

Sudan
35.0%
Draw
15.0%
Madagascar
50.0%
40
rhs 2.0
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