MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:23:50| >> :60:93:93:
Ghana national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ohene Djan Sports Stadium
Sudan national football team

Ghana
3 - 1
Sudan

Yiadom (45+3'), Afriyie (64'), Suraj (90+8')
Attuquaye (84'), Korsah (90+4')
Afriyie (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nooh (31')
Mohamed (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's African Nations Championship clash between Ghana and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Ghana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Sudan
Tuesday, January 3 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ghana 1-0 Sudan

Both teams have struggled for goals of late, so we are anticipating a drab affair with little goalmouth action. That said, we can also see Ghana just about edging out Sudan to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawSudan
66.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 21.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 12.62% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.59% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (0.21 0.21)52.95% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (0.176 0.18)74.55% (-0.178 -0.18)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.073000000000008 0.07)15.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1% (0.137 0.14)43.9% (-0.138 -0.14)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.06% (0.178 0.18)50.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.7% (0.118 0.12)85.3% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 66.16%
    Sudan 12.62%
    Draw 21.21%
GhanaDrawSudan
1-0 @ 14.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 13.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 66.16%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.62%

How you voted: Ghana vs Sudan

Ghana
80.7%
Draw
14.0%
Sudan
5.3%
57
rhs 2.0
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13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
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15Everton163761421-716
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