African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mozambique3 - 2Libya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Mozambique 0-1 Libya
Neither team is in impressive attacking form, so we are anticipating a drab affair with little goalmouth action at either end. That said, we can also see Libya narrowly piping Mozambique to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.26%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Libya |
46.52% ( 2.37) | 32.67% ( -0.62) | 20.81% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 30.47% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
