Mozambique0 - 1Senegal
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Mozambique 0-2 Senegal
Senegal are one of only four teams with a 100% AFCON qualifying record so far and will back themselves to continue their fine run. While Tuesday's visitors may be unable to replicate their landslide victory from four days ago, we are backing them to get the job done once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
Result | ||
Mozambique | Draw | Senegal |
12.85% ( 0) | 23.64% ( -0.13) | 63.51% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 36.22% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.23% ( 0.42) | 60.77% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.18% ( 0.32) | 80.82% ( -0.31) |
Mozambique Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.68% ( 0.26) | 55.32% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.93% ( 0.16) | 88.07% ( -0.16) |
Senegal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% ( 0.21) | 18.94% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.55% ( 0.35) | 50.45% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Mozambique | Draw | Senegal |
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.85% | 0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.17) 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 17.43% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 14.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.5% |
How you voted: Mozambique vs Senegal
Foia (36')
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
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2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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