Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Mozambique3 - 2Benin
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Benin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritius 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Benin had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Benin |
38.68% ( 0.22) | 28.41% ( -0.09) | 32.91% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
