Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.