Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.