Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.