Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
