Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.