Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.