Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.