Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cove Rangers in this match.