Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.