Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24

Apr 4, 2021 at 12pm UK

SKB-Bank Arena

Ural
2 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Pogrebnyak (13'), Gadzhimuradov (85')
Kalinin (2'), Pogrebnyak (55'), Gadzhimuradov (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lutsenko (18'), Khagush (34'), Panteleev (40'), Konovalov (82'), Lomovitski (90+5')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
50.06%	26.2%	23.73%

Both teams to score 47.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68%

56.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65%

77.35%

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84%

56.16%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.79%

39.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.08%

75.92%

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 50.06%

Arsenal Tula 23.73%

Draw 26.2%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.06%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.73%

Head to Head

Oct 18, 2020 12pm

Gameweek 11

Arsenal Tula

1-0

Ural

Lomovitski (36')
Lomovitski (29'), Panchenko (39'), Bauer (81')

Strandberg (15'), Miskic (56'), Kalinin (67'), Emelyanov (90+2')

Jul 15, 2020 2pm

Gameweek 29

Ural

1-3

Arsenal Tula

Bicfalvi (38')
Kulakov (31'), Zolotov (74'), Pogrebnyak (86')

Khlusevich (13'), Panteleev (74'), Tkachev (90+4')
Khlusevich (45+3'), Khagush (53'), Kangwa (56'), Causic (86'), Lomovitski (89'), Banda (90+1'), Tkachev (90+5')

Sep 22, 2019 2.30pm

Gameweek 10

Arsenal Tula

1-1

Ural

Bauer (25')
Gorbatenko (3')

Augustyniak (48')
Iljin (92')

Apr 13, 2019 12pm

Gameweek 23

Arsenal Tula

0-0

Ural