Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Sochi
62.37% ( 0.29)	20.45% ( -0.07)	17.17% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

-0.04)

40.9% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

-0.04)

63.29% (

0.03)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

0.07)

12.56% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.38% (

0.15)

38.62% (

-0.15)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

-0.27)

37.18% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-0.27)

73.97% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 62.37%

Sochi 17.17%

Draw 20.45%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Sochi
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 62.37%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.45%	1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.17%

Head to Head

Nov 5, 2022 11am

Gameweek 16

Sochi

1-1

Spartak Moscow

Zaika (44')

Promes (7')

Aug 14, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 5

Spartak Moscow

3-0

Sochi

Promes (57', 84'), Zinkovskiy (71')
Sobolev (59')

Kravtsov (88')

Dec 13, 2021 4pm

Gameweek 18

Sochi

3-0

Spartak Moscow

Noboa (28' pen.), Popov (89'), Yusupov (90+7' pen.)

Ignatov (27'), Yusupov (36'), Prokhin (45+3'), Tsallagov (48'), Rodrigao (63'), Gigot (79'), Bakaev (90'), Adamov (90+1'), Popov (90+3')
Noboa (66'), Caufriez (90+6')

Aug 26, 2021 4.30pm

Gameweek 6

Spartak Moscow

1-2

Sochi

Zobnin (60')
Zobnin (38'), Sobolev (90+2'), Hendrix (90+3')

Barsov (65'), Yusupov (72')
Angban (34'), Margasov (39'), Rodrigao (41'), Dzhanaev (90+5')

Dec 12, 2020 1.30pm

Gameweek 18

Sochi

1-0

Spartak Moscow