Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

VEB Arena

CSKA
3 - 1
Sochi

Dordevic (53' og.), Zabolotny (88'), Ryadno (90+4')
Moises (12'), Fedotov (13'), Mukhin (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silveira (77')
Dordevic (15'), Alves (34'), Miladinovic (87'), Kravtsov (90')
Alves (47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Sochi.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: CSKA 4-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Sochi

All competitions

Last Game: Sochi 1-2 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, August 6 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
62.26% ( -0.53)	21.4% ( 0.29)	16.34% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

-0.85)

46.56% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.16% (

-0.81)

68.84% (

0.8)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61% (

-0.44)

14.38% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.72% (

-0.85)

42.27% (

0.85)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

-0.22)

41.6% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.91% (

-0.19)

78.09% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 62.26%

Sochi 16.34%

Draw 21.39%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 62.26%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.39%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.34%