Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1

Jul 23, 2023 at 6pm UK

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
2 - 0
Baltika

Kramaric (6'), Drkusic (82')
Yusupov (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuzmin (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions

Last Game: Ural 1-0 Sochi
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sochi in this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Baltika
65.24% ( 0.26)	19.79% ( -0.13)	14.97% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 52.07% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

0.31)

42.17% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42% (

0.31)

64.57% (

-0.31)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.17)

12.14% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26% (

0.35)

37.74% (

-0.35)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26% (

0.01)

40.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.68% (

0.01)

77.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sochi 65.22%

Baltika 14.97%

Draw 19.79%

Sochi	Draw	Baltika
2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.52% Total : 65.22%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.97%