Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv3 - 0Sochi
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Sochi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lokomotiv 5-1 Khimki
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 3-1 Torpedo Moskva
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
48.84% ( 0.43) | 24.3% ( -0.23) | 26.86% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( 0.84) | 46.34% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 0.79) | 68.63% ( -0.79) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( 0.51) | 19.04% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.38% ( 0.84) | 50.62% ( -0.84) |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% ( 0.29) | 31.13% ( -0.29) |