Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20

Mar 18, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 2
Krasnodar

Volkov (47' og.), Glushenkov (51'), Dzyuba (65')
Smolnikov (21'), Karpukas (43'), Tiknizyan (45+5'), Zhemaletdinov (61'), Shchetinin (87')
Smolnikov (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alonso (29'), Cordoba (39')
Cobnan (16'), Ramirez (56'), Cordoba (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 0-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

FC Krasnodar

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 3-1 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	FC Krasnodar
45.04% ( -1.5)	24.21% ( 0.09)	30.75% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

0.33)

43.57% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04% (

0.32)

65.96% (

-0.32)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

-0.5)

19.51% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.6% (

-0.82)

51.4% (

0.81)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

1.1)

26.96% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

1.42)

62.3% (

-1.42)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 45.04%

FC Krasnodar 30.75%

Draw 24.2%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	FC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.04%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.75%