Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv3 - 2Krasnodar
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and FC Krasnodar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 0-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Krasnodar 3-1 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
45.04% ( -1.5) | 24.21% ( 0.09) | 30.75% ( 1.41) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% ( 0.33) | 43.57% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% ( 0.32) | 65.96% ( -0.32) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( -0.5) | 19.51% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.6% ( -0.82) | 51.4% ( 0.81) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 1.1) | 26.96% ( -1.1) |