Nizhny Novgorod

4 - 0

Sochi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.