Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.