Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.