Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18

Mar 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
3 - 1
Orenburg

Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Semenov (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vorobyev (45+6')
Malykh (9'), Sivakov (24'), Stamatov (35'), Ayupov (47'), Perez (59'), Goshev (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 Akhmat Grozny
Friday, November 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 5-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, November 13 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Orenburg
51.8% ( 0.01)	23.82% ( 0)	24.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

-0)

46.3% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

-0)

68.59% (

0.01)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

0.01)

17.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.01)

48.65%

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89% (

-0.01)

33.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.29% (

-0.01)

69.71% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 51.8%

Orenburg 24.38%

Draw 23.82%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.8%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.38%