MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:50:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Fakel

Orenburg
4 - 1
Fakel

Marin (42', 44'), Florentin (57'), Mansilla (83' pen.)
Sychevoy (37'), Ayupov (39'), Mansilla (75'), Malykh (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maksimov (86')
Shlyakov (42'), Maksimov (46'), Chernyakov (60'), Bozhin (71')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Rostov
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawFakel
59.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 21.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.48% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)41.77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)64.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)13.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)41.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.16% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.061 -0.06)71.91% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 59.05%
    Fakel 19.48%
    Draw 21.47%
OrenburgDrawFakel
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25%
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.48%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1511403272537
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit1511313372636
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv15111330181234
4Dynamo Moscow1593331171430
5Spartak Moscow1584325121328
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1583424101427
7Rubin Kazan166462022-222
8RostovRostov154562026-617
9Akron TolyattiAkron164481933-1416
10Nizhny Novgorod154381527-1215
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala15366914-515
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov153391323-1012
13KhimkiKhimki152671628-1212
14Fakel152671023-1312
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny151681329-169
16OrenburgOrenburg151591630-148


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!