Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.