Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.