Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.