Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.