National League South | Gameweek 38
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road, Welling
Welling United0 - 4Dorking
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rutherford (13', 40', 45+2'), Rodari (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Dorking Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Chelmsford City | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Welling United | 40 | -41 | 38 |
| 21 | Billericay Town | 40 | -27 | 36 |
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Maidstone United | 40 | 42 | 87 |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 11.67% | 16.34% | 71.98% |
| Both teams to score 54.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
