National League South | Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
Thames Road
Concord Rangers2 - 1Welling United
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Slough Town | 40 | -18 | 49 |
| 14 | Concord Rangers | 40 | -19 | 49 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 40 | -23 | 48 |
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Chelmsford City | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Welling United | 40 | -41 | 38 |
| 21 | Billericay Town | 40 | -27 | 36 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Concord Rangers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Welling United |
| 41.99% | 23.97% | 34.03% |
| Both teams to score 60.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
