Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Chippenham Town
56.7% ( 0.19)	21.65% ( -0.09)	21.65% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.41% (

0.28)

39.59% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.06% (

0.29)

61.93% (

-0.29)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

0.15)

13.82% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.82% (

0.3)

41.17% (

-0.3)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

0.06)

31.8% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

0.07)

68.23% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 56.7%

Chippenham Town 21.65%

Draw 21.65%

Oxford City	Draw	Chippenham Town
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 56.7%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.65%	1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.65%