Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
