Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
