Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cray Valley (PM) had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Cray Valley (PM) win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.