Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.