Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 50.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.