Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.