Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.