Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.