Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.