Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.