CONMEBOL Recopa | Final
Apr 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 2Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 43.07% | 26.07% | 30.87% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
