Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 28, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 33.43% | 27.6% | 38.97% |
| Both teams to score 48.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
