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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Malmo

Riga FC
1 - 1
Malmo

Paurevic (57')
Fjodorovs (25'), Cernomordijs (66'), Nata Wachholz (68'), Rugins (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colak (33')
Rieks (26')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Riga FCDrawMalmo
19.47%24.04%56.48%
Both teams to score 47.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58%41.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07%77.93%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35%49.65%
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 19.48%
    Malmo 56.47%
    Draw 24.04%
Riga FCDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 5.02%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.48%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 12.91%
0-2 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-4 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 56.47%

How you voted: Riga FC vs Malmo

Riga FC
28.1%
Draw
25.0%
Malmo
46.9%
32
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2021 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Malmo
1-0
Riga FC
Colak (50')
Ahmedhodzic (14'), Colak (30'), Innocent (77')

Muritala (22'), Cernomordijs (29'), Fjodorovs (60')
Muritala (41')
rhs 2.0
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