Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.
