Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.